This page brings together recently released data by the Office for national Statistics (ONS) on aspects of the national economy effected by the Corona-virus Pandemic.  Additionally, using data from the quarterly  Annual Population Survey (APS) and the monthly Labour Force Survey (LFS), analysis on what employment and unemployment might be over the coming months has been estimated.  (Please read the ‘Notes’ at the bottom of this page around these datasets and the limitations of some of this analysis.)

Note: There is significant uncertainty around how local economies will be effected by the COVID 19 pandemic and so the information on this page is intended to provide a possible trajectory of how levels of employment and unemployment might change over the coming months.  It is not intended to provide definitive numbers or predictions and statistical evidence at the local authority level may not become available until spring/summer 2021.

Information presented here covers:

  • Furloughed Employments,
  • Self-Employment Income Support Scheme (SEISS Tranche 3 from 30 November 2020),
  • Small to medium grant payments
  • Estimates of employment,
  • Estimates of unemployment.

Key Messages:

  • It is estimated that 25,800 employments in County Durham were furloughed, in March 2021,
  • It is estimated that 12,400 claims by eligible self-employed people in County Durham have made claims under the SEISS Tranche 3 up to 31st January 2021, representing 64% of the eligible population,
  • Nearly £100m has been paid in grants, to small to medium firms in the county,
  • Estimates suggest employment levels in County Durham in the period January 2020 to December 2020 (APS) were around 71.4%,
  • Estimates suggest unemployment levels in County Durham in the period January 2020 to December 2020 (APS) were around 7.3%.

Further economic data on County Durham is available on the following pages:

The following sections provide more detail on these datasets.

Furloughed Employments

Furloughed Employments: HMRC have released a set of experimental statistics detailing the number of employments furloughed down to the Parliamentary Constituency level.

Further information can be found on the GOV.UK website: https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/hmrc-coronavirus-covid-19-statistics

Key Messages:

  • It is estimated that 25,800 employments in County Durham were furloughed in March 2021.  This was estimated to represent 12% of jobs in the county (see Notes below),
  • Across the North East the figure was 138,400 employments of an estimated 13% of eligible employments in the North East,
  • Across England the estimate was 3.4 million employments out of an estimated 24.4 million eligible employments. Around 14% of all eligible employments in England,
  • Estimates suggest that around 81,400 unique jobs have been furloughed in County Durham since the start of the scheme in March 2020, representing 39.1% of eligible employments in the county,
  • The Accommodation and Food Services sector had the highest estimated number of furloughed employments in County Durham in March 2021 at 6,400, or 24.8% of all eligible jobs,
  • The Wholesale and retail; repair of motor vehicles sector had the second highest with 4,250 furloughed employments, or 16.4% of all eligible jobs.
Click on the three dots in the top right corner of the following Infogram to view full screen (ESC to exit).

Self-Employment Income Support Scheme (SEISS) Tranche 3 (Available from 30 November 2020)

Note: The following refers to the third tranche of the scheme which started taking applications on 30th November.
On 30 November 2020 applications for the third grant of SEISS opened. The third grant is also taxable and worth 80% of three months average monthly trading profits, paid out in a single amount up to a maximum of £7,500.
 
The data used in this release covers claims to the SEISS (3) scheme to 31st January 2021. This data has been matched with other HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) data.
 
This is the second time this information has been released publicly and has been produced using data from both the SEISS and HMRC’s Self-Assessment (SA) system.
 
Key Messages:
  • It is estimated that 12,400 claims by eligible self-employed people in County Durham have been made claims under the SEISS (3) up to January 31st 2021 in this third tranche of the scheme.  This is estimated to represent 64% of the potentially eligible population at an estimated cost of £32.3 million,
  • However this only represents those eligible to apply under the scheme (estimated at 19,400).  The latest Annual Population Survey results for 2020 estimate that there were 31,100 self-employed, a difference of 11,700 people who may not have been eligible to apply to this scheme.
  • Across the North East the figure is 62,000 claims.  This is estimated to represent 66% of the potentially eligible population,
  • Across England the estimate is 1.9 million claims.  This is estimated to represent 65% of the potentially eligible population.

 

COVID Grant Funding

This data covers 3 coronavirus grant schemes:
 
  • Small Business Grants Fund (SBGF),
  • Retail, Hospitality and Leisure Business Grants Fund (RHLGF),
  • Local Authority Discretionary Grants Fund (LADGF),
The data shows the total amount of money that each local authority in England:
  • received from central government,
  • distributed to SMEs
Note: Hereditaments = small and medium businesses identified by the local authority.
 
For further information:

 

Key Messages:

  • The initial allocation made to County Durham was £107,296,000,
  • The number of hereditaments that the local authority identified that may be in scope to receive a grant was 8,924 as at 30 September 2020,
  • The value of these hereditaments was estimated at £99,935,000,
  • All hereditaments in County Durham received a payment as identified by the authority.

Estimates of Employment/Unemployment

Employment and unemployment estimates for County Durham are available from the Annual Population Survey (APS) which provides estimates on a rolling 12 month average.  However, each release of these data are for the 12 month period ending at least 3 months prior, (current release is covers January 2020 to December 2020).  This means up to date estimates are not readily available and any recent changes will be masked due to the averaging over the previous 12 months.
The following infographics summarise these current estimates from the Annual Population Survey.
 

Notes

Furloughed Employments

  1. There is a difference in employees and employment/jobs. An employee is an individual; Employment refers the number of jobs. It is possible for a person to have more than one job.
 
Self-Employment Income Support Scheme (SEISS)
  1. Experimental Statistics.

Further information can be found on the GOV.UK website: https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/hmrc-coronavirus-covid-19-statistics#self-employment-income-support-scheme

Current estimates of employment/unemployment
  1. The APS is a rolling 12 average released every quarter to Parliamentary Constituency level. Current release covers January 2020 to December 2020 2020.